Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%Abilene Christian

85.3%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -580

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 67

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 80

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricMontana State

42.4MMH Power Index53.6

101.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

104.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

-3.0Net Efficiency9.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.6Tempo68.1

48.9%Effective FG%55.1%

20.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.0%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-2.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (114.4–101.1), net efficiency (9.5–-3.0), recent form (4.9–-5.3).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–104.9), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.1).

Final

Abilene Christian

59—85

Montana State

Montana State by 26 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATMontana State

24-58FG29-50

41.0%FG%58.0%

3-183PT17-26

17.0%3PT%65.0%

8-12FT10-13

67.0%FT%77.0%

22Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists20

8Turnovers13

6Steals4

2Blocks4

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	27	7-13	0-2	4-5	2	2	0	0	18
Quion Williams	G	26	3-11	0-1	4-7	4	3	1	0	10
Rich Smith	G	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Yaniel Rivera	G	16	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Dontrez Williams	G	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Christian Alston	G	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	24	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Bradyn Hubbard	F	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Colby Tanner	Guard	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Cade Hornecker	F	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	29	5-7	3-3	1-2	7	0	0	2	14
Jabe Mullins	Guard	28	4-5	2-3	4-4	1	7	1	1	14
Brandon Walker	F	20	5-9	0-0	2-4	9	3	1	0	12
Brian Goracke	Forward	18	4-11	2-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Tyler Patterson	Guard	19	3-3	3-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Bryce Zephir	G	12	2-2	2-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Patrick McMahon	G	20	2-5	2-3	1-1	2	2	0	0	7
Sam Lecholat	Forward	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Jeremiah Davis	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
BJ Kolly	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jed Miller	G	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Chika Nduka	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Calum Rutherfurd	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

91.5Offensive Efficiency131.8

131.8Defensive Efficiency91.5

-40.3Net Efficiency40.3

44.0%Effective FG%75.0%

46.3%True Shooting %75.7%

12.4%Turnover Rate20.3%

20.7%Free Throw Rate26.0%

31.0%3-Point Rate52.0%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Montana State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.