California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%California Baptist

72.7%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -266

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreSMU 80

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricSMU

58.3MMH Power Index62.5

106.5Offensive Efficiency118.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.5Net Efficiency8.6

1.8Strength of Schedule7.0

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.2Tempo71.1

48.8%Effective FG%55.7%

17.9%Turnover Rate15.7%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

37.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

5.1Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–58.3), offensive efficiency (118.2–106.5), net efficiency (8.6–7.5), strength of schedule (7.0–1.8).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–109.6), recent form (11.0–-1.3), offensive rebounding (37.0–35.0).

Final

California Baptist

77—79

SMU

SMU by 2 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATSMU

30-58FG29-55

52.0%FG%53.0%

9-173PT8-20

53.0%3PT%40.0%

8-13FT13-18

62.0%FT%72.0%

27Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists12

9Turnovers11

6Steals7

3Blocks6

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendal Coleman	Forward	35	12-16	6-8	2-4	6	1	0	1	32
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	6-16	1-3	3-5	2	3	0	0	16
AJ Braun	Forward	26	5-11	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	12
Sam Silverstein	G	34	2-6	2-3	0-0	3	3	2	1	6
Bradey Henige	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Martel Williams	G	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Javonte Johnson	Guard	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	1	1
Adam Moussa	Guard	26	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	8	3	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
B.J. Edwards	G	33	7-10	1-4	2-2	1	4	3	0	17
Boopie Miller	G	29	6-14	1-4	3-4	5	5	1	0	16
Kario Oquendo	Guard	24	5-6	3-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	14
Yohan Traore	F	28	2-8	2-5	6-8	2	0	0	0	12
Samet Yigitoglu	C	21	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	2	9
Matt Cross	Forward	31	3-4	1-1	0-0	8	1	2	2	7
Chuck Harris	Guard	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Jerrell Colbert	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Tibet Gorener	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
AJ George	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

119.6Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency119.6

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

59.5%Effective FG%60.0%

60.0%True Shooting %62.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

22.4%Free Throw Rate32.7%

29.3%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

SMU won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.