Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%Notre Dame

52.1%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -109

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 75

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreRutgers 75

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricRutgers

49.7MMH Power Index45.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency104.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency112.2

-0.9Net Efficiency-8.0

4.7Strength of Schedule3.9

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

68.0Tempo67.4

53.0%Effective FG%47.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-0.6Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Notre Dame HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNotre Dame holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–104.2), defensive efficiency (111.2–112.2), net efficiency (-0.9–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.6–-11.6), ball security (15.0–17.0), free throw rate (36.3–34.7).

Final

Notre Dame

84—85

Rutgers

Rutgers by 1 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATRutgers

29-66FG29-65

44.0%FG%45.0%

14-333PT8-24

42.0%3PT%33.0%

12-15FT19-28

80.0%FT%68.0%

41Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists9

14Turnovers9

2Steals9

1Blocks3

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Allocco	Guard	45	8-17	6-9	2-2	10	5	0	0	24
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	44	6-20	3-13	1-2	2	2	0	0	16
Tae Davis	F	32	5-10	0-0	5-7	6	2	0	0	15
Burke Chebuhar	Forward	19	4-7	3-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Logan Imes	G	35	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	8
Julian Roper II	Guard	20	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Kebba Njie	F	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	4
Markus Burton	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
J.R. Konieczny	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cole Certa	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Harper	Guard	39	12-22	2-6	10-14	6	6	0	0	36
Jordan Derkack	G	34	5-12	2-5	4-7	6	1	2	1	16
Ace Bailey	Guard	36	4-12	1-1	1-1	4	1	2	0	10
Jeremiah Williams	G	30	4-8	2-5	0-0	6	0	1	1	10
Tyson Acuff	Guard	25	2-5	1-3	2-2	7	1	1	0	7
Lathan Sommerville	C	17	2-3	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Zach Martini	Center	19	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	3	0	1
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Jamichael Davis	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

114.8Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency114.8

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

54.5%Effective FG%50.8%

57.4%True Shooting %54.3%

19.1%Turnover Rate12.3%

22.7%Free Throw Rate43.1%

50.0%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.