Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Fresno State

66.5%Washington State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington State -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington State -199

Washington State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreWashington State 78

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricWashington State

47.1MMH Power Index48.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency110.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

0.0Net Efficiency-2.0

1.5Strength of Schedule3.3

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.5

69.4Tempo69.2

51.3%Effective FG%54.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate31.3%

0.0Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Washington State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWashington State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (110.0–104.9), strength of schedule (3.3–1.5), recent form (-2.5–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (0.0–-2.0), ball security (18.2–18.8).

Final

Fresno State

73—84

Washington State

Washington State by 11 • 81.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATWashington State

27-63FG34-64

43.0%FG%53.0%

7-223PT6-22

32.0%3PT%27.0%

12-21FT10-18

57.0%FT%56.0%

33Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists23

18Turnovers19

6Steals10

—Blocks7

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	36	11-17	2-3	3-4	4	4	2	27
Alex Crawford	F	32	7-10	3-4	0-0	4	1	0	17
Mykell Robinson	Forward	34	2-11	0-1	6-9	3	4	1	10
Amar Augillard	G	18	2-9	1-6	0-0	0	0	1	5
David Douglas Jr.	G	15	1-4	1-4	2-4	1	0	0	5
Elijah Price	F	21	1-2	0-0	1-4	9	0	1	3
Jalen Weaver	Guard	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	2
Brian Amuneke	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	2
Mor Seck	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
Jasir Tremble	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Washington State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Calmese	G	25	10-16	1-3	1-2	8	6	0	0	22
Ethan Price	Forward	33	6-10	2-4	2-4	1	6	0	1	16
LeJuan Watts	F	31	6-10	0-2	2-2	9	3	1	1	14
Dane Erikstrup	Forward	32	6-9	1-3	0-2	6	2	4	0	13
ND Okafor	F	18	3-4	0-0	3-6	2	1	0	3	9
Isaiah Watts	G	32	2-11	2-8	2-2	4	3	5	0	8
Tomas Thrastarson	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Kase Wynott	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Parker Gerrits	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.3Possessions81.3

89.8Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency89.8

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

48.4%Effective FG%57.8%

50.0%True Shooting %57.9%

22.0%Turnover Rate23.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.1%

34.9%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Washington State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 81.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.