Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Northern Kentucky

62.2%Charleston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCharleston -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINECharleston -165

Charleston

21-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 77

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreCharleston 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricCharleston

53.9MMH Power Index53.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.2

7.8Net Efficiency3.0

-2.9Strength of Schedule1.9

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.9

72.3Tempo69.1

54.5%Effective FG%50.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate42.1%

5.7Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–53.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.2), net efficiency (7.8–3.0), recent form (4.6–3.9).

Charleston COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.2–107.1), strength of schedule (1.9–-2.9), ball security (15.4–16.3).

Final

Northern Kentucky

64—79

Charleston

Charleston by 15 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATCharleston

25-64FG27-51

39.0%FG%53.0%

7-273PT11-24

26.0%3PT%46.0%

7-12FT14-20

58.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists15

12Turnovers16

12Steals8

1Blocks1

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Vinson	Guard	38	7-15	3-8	4-4	6	3	2	0	21
Trey Robinson	Guard	34	5-12	0-2	2-6	12	1	5	1	12
Dan Gherezgher	G	27	5-10	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	11
LJ Wells	F	26	4-9	0-4	1-2	2	1	3	0	9
Josh Dilling	Guard	16	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	3	0	0	6
Randall Pettus II	G	30	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	3
Keeyan Itejere	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Paulius Rapolis	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Charleston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrin Boyd	Guard	22	5-7	5-7	7-8	6	0	1	0	22
AJ Smith	G	34	6-14	0-4	2-5	5	1	3	0	14
Ante Brzovic	Forward	34	4-7	1-2	2-2	13	6	2	0	11
Justas Stonkus	Guard	13	3-3	2-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
CJ Fulton	Guard	34	3-6	2-4	1-2	1	6	0	0	9
Deywilk Tavarez	G	29	2-9	1-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	5
Lazar Djokovic	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	4
Elijah Jones	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Evan Kilminster	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Djordje Curcic	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

94.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency94.0

-22.0Net Efficiency22.0

44.5%Effective FG%63.7%

45.9%True Shooting %65.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate24.1%

18.8%Free Throw Rate39.2%

42.2%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Charleston won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.