Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%Northern Illinois

94.3%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -1654

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 64

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreValparaiso 82

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricValparaiso

29.2MMH Power Index49.9

99.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency105.8

-11.9Net Efficiency0.8

-2.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.7Tempo67.5

48.5%Effective FG%48.7%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-8.3Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–111.6), net efficiency (0.8–-11.9).

Final

Northern Illinois

82—87

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 5 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

25-55FG23-59

45.0%FG%39.0%

10-223PT6-21

45.0%3PT%29.0%

22-30FT35-44

73.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists8

13Turnovers4

3Steals5

4Blocks3

32Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nas Muhammad	G	30	5-11	5-7	6-6	3	1	0	0	21
Quentin Jones	G	36	6-14	1-6	7-8	3	2	0	3	20
James Dent Jr.	G	29	5-9	2-3	3-5	6	4	1	0	15
Quaran McPherson	G	31	5-10	1-3	2-3	11	1	1	0	13
Tsvet Sotirov	F	25	2-5	1-3	2-2	7	2	1	0	7
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	18	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	0	2
Kailon Nicholls	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jayden Mott	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Dominic Gooden	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Schmidt	G	25	5-9	0-0	7-8	3	0	1	0	17
Cooper Schwieger	F	16	4-9	2-4	7-8	7	0	1	2	17
All Wright	G	22	5-10	3-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	13
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	33	3-9	0-2	6-9	1	3	1	1	12
Devon Ellis	F	23	3-6	0-1	6-9	2	0	0	0	12
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	27	1-6	0-3	6-6	6	3	0	0	8
Isaiah Shaw	G	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	24	0-4	0-2	2-2	8	1	0	0	2
Justus McNair	G	9	0-3	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

109.9Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency109.9

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

54.5%Effective FG%44.1%

59.2%True Shooting %54.4%

17.5%Turnover Rate5.3%

54.5%Free Throw Rate74.6%

40.0%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.