San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%San Diego State

32.3%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -210

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreOregon 71

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricOregon

60.1MMH Power Index48.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency106.4

99.3Defensive Efficiency110.7

11.0Net Efficiency-4.3

3.8Strength of Schedule6.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.8Tempo66.7

53.2%Effective FG%49.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

7.8Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–48.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–110.7), net efficiency (11.0–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–3.8), offensive rebounding (31.6–30.8).

Final

San Diego State

68—78

Oregon

Oregon by 10 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATOregon

29-57FG25-56

51.0%FG%45.0%

6-193PT10-22

32.0%3PT%45.0%

4-8FT18-26

50.0%FT%69.0%

24Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds16

16Assists16

13Turnovers15

8Steals8

9Blocks5

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Davis	G	30	7-13	2-4	2-2	3	3	1	0	18
Nick Boyd	G	29	6-9	3-4	0-1	2	1	0	0	15
Miles Byrd	G	32	4-11	1-5	1-1	2	1	3	2	10
Pharaoh Compton	F	15	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	1	8
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	15	3-7	0-2	0-2	2	2	0	0	6
Taj DeGourville	G	17	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	4	0	1	4
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	24	1-4	0-1	1-2	6	1	2	0	3
Magoon Gwath	F	29	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	5	2
Miles Heide	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Bamba	Guard	35	7-14	4-6	4-7	2	5	1	0	22
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	25	5-8	3-4	3-5	1	2	5	0	16
Jackson Shelstad	G	36	2-8	1-3	7-7	4	4	1	0	12
Brandon Angel	Forward	30	5-11	2-5	0-0	6	3	1	1	12
Nate Bittle	C	26	4-7	0-1	3-4	9	0	0	2	11
Jadrian Tracey	G	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Supreme Cook	Not Available	10	1-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Mookie Cook	F	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency100.6

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

56.1%Effective FG%53.6%

55.9%True Shooting %57.1%

19.2%Turnover Rate22.3%

14.0%Free Throw Rate46.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Oregon won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.