UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.2%UT Arlington

74.8%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -297

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 69

Projected Total146.5

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 77

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricAustin Peay

49.6MMH Power Index54.8

102.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

97.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

4.8Net Efficiency11.9

-0.8Strength of Schedule-5.8

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

68.1Tempo71.0

48.5%Effective FG%53.9%

20.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

43.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

3.3Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–49.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–102.7), net efficiency (11.9–4.8), recent form (8.1–-3.9).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–103.1), strength of schedule (-0.8–-5.8), offensive rebounding (36.0–30.3).

Final

UT Arlington

68—58

Austin Peay

UT Arlington by 10 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATAustin Peay

18-44FG23-61

41.0%FG%38.0%

9-173PT7-26

53.0%3PT%27.0%

23-27FT5-8

85.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists14

13Turnovers7

2Steals5

3Blocks4

12Fouls21

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Robinson	G	31	4-8	2-4	6-6	6	0	0	0	16
Raysean Seamster	F	29	5-11	2-3	3-4	5	0	0	0	15
Lance Ware	Forward	34	3-6	0-0	8-10	7	0	0	3	14
Jaden Wells	Guard	33	2-4	2-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Darius Burford	Guard	32	1-7	0-3	3-3	7	1	1	0	5
Kade Douglas	G	14	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	5
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Troy Hupstead	F	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Thomas	G	31	5-14	2-3	2-2	2	3	2	0	14
Anton Brookshire	PG	40	5-14	3-9	0-0	3	5	1	0	13
Quan Lax	PG	38	4-7	0-1	2-2	7	5	1	0	10
Tate McCubbin	G	30	4-9	0-4	0-1	2	1	0	0	8
Tekao Carpenter	G	28	2-8	2-8	0-1	4	0	1	0	6
JaVar Daniel	F	16	2-5	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	3	5
Daniel Loos	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Darius Dawson	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bowen Hammer	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Me'Kell Burries	Guard	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

108.3Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency108.3

15.9Net Efficiency-15.9

51.1%Effective FG%43.4%

59.8%True Shooting %44.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate11.1%

61.4%Free Throw Rate13.1%

38.6%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.38Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UT Arlington won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.