Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.8%Incarnate Word

17.2%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -481

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 78

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricWestern Illinois

44.6MMH Power Index25.9

112.0Offensive Efficiency96.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

0.8Net Efficiency-17.7

-3.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

66.3Tempo67.5

52.2%Effective FG%45.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

0.5Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–25.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.6), free throw rate (37.5–34.0).

Final

Incarnate Word

86—75

Western Illinois

Incarnate Word by 11 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATWestern Illinois

34-64FG23-45

53.0%FG%51.0%

9-203PT5-13

45.0%3PT%38.0%

9-13FT24-28

69.0%FT%86.0%

25Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists5

6Turnovers17

7Steals4

1Blocks4

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	34	8-15	6-12	1-2	3	3	2	0	23
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	32	7-13	0-1	4-5	1	8	2	0	18
Dylan Hayman	Forward	36	7-12	2-3	1-1	4	1	1	0	17
Shon Robinson	Forward	21	4-7	1-2	1-1	2	0	1	0	10
Jayden Williams	C	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Jordan Pyke	F	9	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Lamin Sabally	F	23	2-4	0-0	1-2	5	2	1	0	5
Josh Akpovwa	F	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marko Maletic	Guard	31	5-12	3-7	10-11	2	1	1	0	23
Kayden Carter	Forward	33	6-10	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	1	13
Julius Rollins	G	37	3-9	0-3	5-5	4	3	0	0	11
Tay Knox	C	30	2-3	0-0	4-6	6	0	0	3	8
Ryan Myers	G	15	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Trey Deveaux	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Sean Smith	G	21	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	3	0	5
Kiyron Powell	Center	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Rodrick Payne	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

129.7Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency129.7

16.6Net Efficiency-16.6

60.2%Effective FG%56.7%

61.3%True Shooting %64.3%

9.1%Turnover Rate25.6%

20.3%Free Throw Rate62.2%

31.3%3-Point Rate28.9%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.29

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.