Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Utah Valley

48.8%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -105

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 78

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreSamford 76

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricSamford

59.1MMH Power Index54.1

113.4Offensive Efficiency113.5

97.3Defensive Efficiency108.3

16.1Net Efficiency5.2

-3.3Strength of Schedule-2.9

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

70.6Tempo69.5

56.0%Effective FG%54.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate13.3%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.5%

11.4Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–54.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–108.3), net efficiency (16.1–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.0–54.0).

Samford COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.5–113.4), strength of schedule (-2.9–-3.3), recent form (14.0–6.8).

Final

Utah Valley

76—84

Samford

Samford by 8 • 77.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATSamford

29-58FG34-71

50.0%FG%48.0%

5-173PT10-28

29.0%3PT%36.0%

13-20FT6-10

65.0%FT%60.0%

41Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists20

23Turnovers13

11Steals18

4Blocks4

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	37	7-14	0-2	7-8	7	1	1	1	21
Tanner Toolson	G	27	6-10	3-7	0-1	3	3	1	0	15
Carter Welling	F	32	6-11	1-3	1-5	10	2	2	2	14
Trevan Leonhardt	G	36	4-4	1-1	4-4	8	7	4	0	13
Ethan Potter	F	20	3-8	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	7
Hayden Welling	F	12	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Kylin Green	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Osiris Grady	F	14	0-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	0
Cory Wells	F	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Brownell	F	26	10-15	2-6	0-1	3	3	4	1	22
Rylan Jones	Guard	25	5-7	4-6	4-4	2	4	3	1	18
Lukas Walls	G	28	4-9	2-5	0-0	6	1	0	0	10
Collin Holloway	Forward	35	4-10	0-2	1-3	6	6	2	0	9
Trey Fort	G	22	3-9	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Josh Holloway	G	20	3-8	0-2	0-0	1	4	3	0	6
Julian Brown	Guard	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Hamed Olayinka	F	13	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	2	5
Isaiah West	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	5	0	2
Riley Allenspach	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zion Wilburn	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.2Possessions77.2

98.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency98.4

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

54.3%Effective FG%54.9%

56.3%True Shooting %55.4%

29.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.5%Free Throw Rate14.1%

29.3%3-Point Rate39.4%

0.74Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Samford won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 77.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.