Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Northern Arizona

69.0%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -223

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 69

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 75

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricHouston Christian

36.9MMH Power Index39.5

107.1Offensive Efficiency102.5

114.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

-7.7Net Efficiency-7.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

66.6Tempo65.4

53.5%Effective FG%49.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

33.6%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-5.1Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.5–36.9), defensive efficiency (110.3–114.8), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.8), recent form (-8.2–-16.5).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–102.5), net efficiency (-7.7–-7.8), shooting efficiency (53.5–49.9).

Final

Northern Arizona

74—71

Houston Christian

Northern Arizona by 3 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATHouston Christian

30-60FG28-54

50.0%FG%52.0%

6-213PT5-17

29.0%3PT%29.0%

8-10FT10-13

80.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists10

9Turnovers9

6Steals5

—Blocks4

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	40	9-20	3-10	2-2	5	2	2	23
Carson Towt	F	32	7-9	0-0	0-1	8	2	0	14
Diego Campisano	F	15	3-4	2-3	1-1	3	0	0	9
Dillan Baker	G	13	3-5	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	8
Monty Bowser	G	16	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	7
Jayden Jackson	G	33	2-9	0-2	0-0	4	4	2	4
C.J. Ford	Guard	5	1-3	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	4
Oakland Fort	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1
Ryan Abelman	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0
Ali Ragab	Center	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Brooks	G	36	13-19	1-2	2-3	6	1	2	0	29
Julian Mackey	G	34	10-19	3-9	5-5	8	3	0	0	28
Peyton Rogers	Forward	30	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Pierce Bazil	PG	6	1-2	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	3
Demari Williams	G	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
D'Aundre Samuels	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	29	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	4	2	0	1
Trent Johnson	F	25	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	2	0
Bryson Dawkins	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Porter Bazil	SF	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

114.7Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency114.7

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

55.0%Effective FG%56.5%

57.1%True Shooting %59.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.0%

16.7%Free Throw Rate24.1%

35.0%3-Point Rate31.5%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.