Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.1%Cal State Northridge

49.9%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -100

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Projected Total160.3

Projected ScoreMontana 81

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricMontana

50MMH Power Index45.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

2.1Net Efficiency3.8

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

75.9Tempo71.2

51.0%Effective FG%56.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate19.2%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.7%

1.6Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.6–107.3), defensive efficiency (104.8–105.2), net efficiency (3.8–2.1), shooting efficiency (56.3–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.0–45.4), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.4), recent form (1.8–-6.5).

Final

Cal State Northridge

75—83

Montana

Montana by 8 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATMontana

30-78FG22-53

38.0%FG%42.0%

6-253PT10-28

24.0%3PT%36.0%

9-14FT29-37

64.0%FT%78.0%

41Rebounds44

19Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists12

11Turnovers17

9Steals6

4Blocks7

26Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	35	8-15	1-6	0-1	4	2	0	0	17
Keonte Jones	G	38	5-14	1-3	4-6	12	4	3	3	15
PJ Fuller II	Guard	25	5-11	1-4	1-1	2	4	1	0	12
Grady Lewis	F	13	4-5	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	0	9
Judson Martindale	Forward	12	2-7	1-6	3-4	0	0	0	0	8
Jordan Brinson	G	12	2-9	1-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Scotty Washington	G	27	2-10	0-2	0-0	2	2	3	1	4
Tyler Beard	Guard	18	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Mahmoud Fofana	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	34	6-12	4-9	6-8	7	4	2	0	22
Joe Pridgen	Guard	34	8-13	0-1	4-7	13	2	1	1	20
Kai Johnson	Guard	30	3-7	3-6	6-8	5	1	0	1	15
Brandon Whitney	Guard	31	2-5	0-1	6-6	4	2	0	0	10
Money Williams	G	23	2-8	2-5	2-2	2	1	1	2	8
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	23	0-3	0-2	5-6	6	2	0	3	5
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Austin Patterson	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Amari Jedkins	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

97.8Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency97.8

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

42.3%Effective FG%50.9%

44.3%True Shooting %58.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate22.2%

17.9%Free Throw Rate69.8%

32.1%3-Point Rate52.8%

1.55Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.