Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%Mercyhurst

85.0%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -567

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 67

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricCalifornia

45.5MMH Power Index56.5

105.2Offensive Efficiency111.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

3.0Net Efficiency7.0

-5.7Strength of Schedule2.8

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

65.9Tempo69.9

50.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–45.5), offensive efficiency (111.8–105.2), net efficiency (7.0–3.0), strength of schedule (2.8–-5.7).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–104.8), recent form (3.2–1.8), ball security (14.4–14.9).

Final

Mercyhurst

55—81

California

California by 26 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATCalifornia

20-53FG29-53

38.0%FG%55.0%

3-133PT11-21

23.0%3PT%52.0%

12-16FT12-18

75.0%FT%67.0%

24Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists14

11Turnovers14

5Steals4

1Blocks6

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	25	4-5	1-1	2-2	0	0	3	0	11
Aidan Reichert	Forward	25	4-10	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	1	10
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	31	2-5	0-0	5-6	1	1	0	0	9
Jake Lemelman	G	18	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Max Jusianiec	G	19	2-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Jeff Planutis	Forward	26	2-10	0-2	1-1	1	2	0	0	5
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	20	1-6	0-2	1-3	3	0	1	0	3
James Thomas	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Qadir Martin	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Christian Gamble	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	30	9-12	6-8	1-2	0	4	2	0	25
Andrej Stojakovic	G	31	5-12	2-6	3-5	3	2	1	2	15
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	22	5-7	0-1	3-4	6	1	0	1	13
Spencer Mahoney	F	12	3-5	2-3	0-2	2	0	0	0	8
Lee Dort	F	14	1-3	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	0	6
Christian Tucker	Guard	30	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	1	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	1	4
Devin Curtis	F	6	1-2	1-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	4
Rytis Petraitis	F	28	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	1	2
Jack McCloskey	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Matt Desler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Karapetian	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

84.5Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency84.5

-39.9Net Efficiency39.9

40.6%Effective FG%65.1%

45.4%True Shooting %65.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate21.4%

30.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

24.5%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

California won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.