California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%California Baptist

32.3%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -210

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 73

Projected Total143.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 70

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricFresno State

58.3MMH Power Index47.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.5Net Efficiency0.0

1.8Strength of Schedule1.5

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.2Tempo69.4

48.8%Effective FG%51.3%

17.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

5.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–47.1), offensive efficiency (106.5–104.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.9), net efficiency (7.5–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–48.8).

Final

California Baptist

86—81

Fresno State

California Baptist by 5 • 85.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATFresno State

34-90FG33-78

38.0%FG%42.0%

9-343PT4-21

26.0%3PT%19.0%

9-14FT11-17

64.0%FT%65.0%

52Rebounds53

19Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists7

7Turnovers15

6Steals3

4Blocks4

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	45	10-31	3-13	6-6	3	4	1	0	29
Javonte Johnson	Guard	31	7-11	5-8	1-1	6	0	1	0	20
Kendal Coleman	Forward	35	7-12	0-1	0-1	15	0	0	1	14
AJ Braun	Forward	35	5-13	0-2	2-4	11	1	0	3	12
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	19	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Adam Moussa	Guard	26	2-8	0-4	0-0	2	5	1	0	4
Sam Silverstein	G	43	1-4	0-2	0-2	8	3	1	0	2
Martel Williams	G	12	0-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Bradey Henige	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amar Augillard	G	34	9-22	3-11	5-7	8	1	1	0	26
Elijah Price	F	42	7-13	0-1	2-5	15	0	1	3	16
Jalen Weaver	Guard	37	5-10	0-1	1-1	5	0	0	0	11
Mykell Robinson	Forward	47	3-14	1-5	3-4	9	2	0	1	10
Zaon Collins	G	42	5-8	0-1	0-0	6	4	0	0	10
Mor Seck	C	19	2-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Alex Crawford	F	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
David Douglas Jr.	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jasir Tremble	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Amuneke	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.9Possessions85.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency100.1

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

42.8%Effective FG%44.9%

44.5%True Shooting %47.1%

8.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

15.6%Free Throw Rate21.8%

37.8%3-Point Rate26.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 85.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.