West Virginia

21-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%West Virginia

84.4%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -12.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -541

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWest Virginia 68

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Team Comparison

West VirginiaMetricLouisville

56.5MMH Power Index67.1

108.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

100.7Defensive Efficiency102.2

7.5Net Efficiency16.4

2.9Strength of Schedule6.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

65.3Tempo71.0

51.5%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate16.8%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.6%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–108.2), net efficiency (16.4–7.5), strength of schedule (6.0–2.9).

West Virginia COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–102.2), recent form (1.8–1.4), free throw rate (35.6–34.1).

Final

West Virginia

70—79

Louisville

Louisville by 9 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

West VirginiaTEAM STATLouisville

26-59FG24-57

44.0%FG%42.0%

9-263PT7-28

35.0%3PT%25.0%

9-12FT24-33

75.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists10

16Turnovers15

5Steals7

6Blocks4

29Fouls15

Player Box Score

West Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Small	Guard	43	10-19	4-9	2-3	7	7	4	0	26
Amani Hansberry	F	34	5-11	2-7	7-8	5	1	0	1	19
Toby Okani	Guard	36	6-9	0-1	0-1	4	1	0	1	12
Tucker DeVries	F	32	3-9	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	3	8
Jonathan Powell	G	29	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Sencire Harris	G	27	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Eduardo Andre	Center	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
KJ Tenner	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Yesufu	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	38	8-12	2-5	14-17	3	2	6	0	32
Reyne Smith	Guard	38	5-12	4-10	1-2	3	0	0	0	15
Kasean Pryor	F	35	4-11	1-5	4-4	8	2	1	3	13
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	36	4-9	0-1	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
J'Vonne Hadley	G	29	2-5	0-1	2-3	5	3	0	0	6
Noah Waterman	Forward	26	1-7	0-6	0-1	5	1	0	0	2
James Scott	F	15	0-1	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	1	1
Khani Rooths	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

96.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency96.3

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

51.7%Effective FG%48.2%

54.1%True Shooting %54.4%

22.3%Turnover Rate20.4%

20.3%Free Throw Rate57.9%

44.1%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Louisville won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.