Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Utah Valley

62.2%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -165

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 74

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 77

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricNorth Dakota State

59.1MMH Power Index59

113.4Offensive Efficiency115.4

97.3Defensive Efficiency100.8

16.1Net Efficiency14.6

-3.3Strength of Schedule-4.6

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

70.6Tempo69.6

56.0%Effective FG%54.5%

19.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

11.4Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–59.0), defensive efficiency (97.3–100.8), net efficiency (16.1–14.6), strength of schedule (-3.3–-4.6).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.4–113.4), recent form (14.3–6.8), ball security (15.5–19.9).

Final

Utah Valley

63—83

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 20 • 59.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

24-54FG26-47

44.0%FG%55.0%

5-203PT14-27

25.0%3PT%52.0%

10-15FT17-19

67.0%FT%89.0%

29Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds4

10Assists11

9Turnovers8

6Steals3

5Blocks1

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Welling	F	17	4-9	2-4	5-6	5	0	0	0	15
Osiris Grady	F	21	5-8	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Trevan Leonhardt	G	29	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	6	2	0	7
Tanner Toolson	G	27	3-9	1-6	0-1	1	1	0	0	7
Ethan Potter	F	17	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	6
Cory Wells	F	16	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	1	5
Kylin Green	G	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Hayden Welling	F	19	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	2	3
Jackson Holcombe	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Noah Taitz	G	7	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dominick Nelson	G	22	0-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	1

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	34	11-15	6-8	4-4	6	2	1	0	32
Tajavis Miller	G	21	5-5	3-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	15
Jacari White	G	31	4-7	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	1	12
Masen Miller	Guard	36	2-7	1-6	4-5	3	4	1	0	9
Brennan Watkins	G	31	1-6	1-5	4-4	4	2	1	0	7
Noah Feddersen	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Luke Kasubke	Guard	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Darik Dissette	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Andy Stefonowicz	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.6Possessions59.6

105.7Offensive Efficiency139.3

139.3Defensive Efficiency105.7

-33.6Net Efficiency33.6

49.1%Effective FG%70.2%

51.5%True Shooting %74.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.3%

27.8%Free Throw Rate40.4%

37.0%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 59.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.