Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Northwestern

55.2%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -123

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreButler 78

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricButler

55.4MMH Power Index52.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

5.6Strength of Schedule3.1

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

65.6Tempo71.1

51.9%Effective FG%51.2%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.2Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.7–111.6), defensive efficiency (109.1–109.8), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), offensive rebounding (34.4–28.2).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (55.4–52.7), strength of schedule (5.6–3.1), recent form (-2.7–-8.5).

Final

Northwestern

69—71

Butler

Butler by 2 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATButler

22-61FG22-47

36.0%FG%47.0%

4-163PT6-16

25.0%3PT%38.0%

21-26FT21-27

81.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

5Turnovers15

7Steals1

1Blocks4

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	38	7-15	1-3	9-10	7	2	1	0	24
Matthew Nicholson	Center	30	3-4	0-0	8-9	5	1	0	0	14
Jalen Leach	Not Available	32	3-12	1-4	1-2	3	1	2	1	8
Nick Martinelli	F	35	3-15	0-0	1-2	8	2	0	0	7
Ty Berry	Guard	29	2-7	1-5	2-3	2	2	2	0	7
K.J. Windham	G	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	5
Luke Hunger	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Justin Mullins	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	38	7-12	2-3	7-7	4	5	0	0	23
Andre Screen	Center	26	7-10	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	3	15
Finley Bizjack	G	28	2-4	2-3	6-8	5	1	0	0	12
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	36	3-7	2-5	2-2	3	2	0	0	10
Kolby King	G	18	1-4	0-1	3-4	6	3	0	0	5
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	32	1-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Augusto Cassiá	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Landon Moore	G	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Boden Kapke	F	6	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

103.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency103.6

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

39.3%Effective FG%53.2%

47.0%True Shooting %59.3%

7.5%Turnover Rate22.4%

42.6%Free Throw Rate57.4%

26.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Butler won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.