Davidson

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Davidson

65.5%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -190

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDavidson 77

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Team Comparison

DavidsonMetricProvidence

53MMH Power Index54.2

109.9Offensive Efficiency115.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency113.2

6.2Net Efficiency1.8

0.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

65.5Tempo74.2

53.7%Effective FG%55.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

32.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

4.1Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–53.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.9), strength of schedule (4.0–0.1), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.7).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–113.2), net efficiency (6.2–1.8), recent form (-0.6–-1.3).

Final

Davidson

69—58

Providence

Davidson by 11 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DavidsonTEAM STATProvidence

23-49FG18-58

47.0%FG%31.0%

6-193PT8-21

32.0%3PT%38.0%

17-21FT14-18

81.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists8

8Turnovers6

2Steals4

3Blocks3

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Kochera	Guard	35	7-10	0-0	8-11	5	1	0	1	22
Bobby Durkin	F	33	7-12	4-8	2-2	4	1	0	0	20
Reed Bailey	F	35	6-13	1-3	5-6	11	4	1	0	18
Sean Logan	F	17	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Mike Loughnane	G	30	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	3	1	1	3
Hunter Adam	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Roberts Blums	G	24	0-5	0-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Zach Laput	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	39	5-12	4-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	14
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	32	4-11	2-2	3-3	4	1	0	0	13
Bensley Joseph	Guard	28	2-9	1-4	3-4	4	0	1	0	8
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	23	2-6	0-2	2-3	3	3	1	0	6
Ryan Mela	G	12	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	18	1-5	1-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	5
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	19	1-7	0-0	1-2	11	2	0	2	3
Christ Essandoko	F	12	1-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	3
Rich Barron	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justyn Fernandez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anton Bonke	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency112.6

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

53.1%Effective FG%37.9%

58.5%True Shooting %43.6%

12.7%Turnover Rate10.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate31.0%

38.8%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Davidson won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.