Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.9%Saint Mary's

12.1%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -726

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 81

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreUSC 70

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricUSC

70.7MMH Power Index48.3

116.7Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

19.3Net Efficiency0.9

3.0Strength of Schedule2.5

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

66.3Tempo72.4

53.1%Effective FG%50.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

12.8Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–48.3), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.6), net efficiency (19.3–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

71—36

USC

Saint Mary's by 35 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATUSC

30-59FG13-50

51.0%FG%26.0%

3-143PTnull-12

21.0%3PT%0.0%

8-12FT10-12

67.0%FT%83.0%

46Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists6

10Turnovers10

6Steals4

4Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ross	G	20	6-9	0-1	3-4	4	4	1	1	15
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	33	4-11	1-3	2-2	5	4	2	0	11
Paulius Murauskas	F	24	5-10	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Mikey Lewis	G	21	4-12	0-4	0-0	6	3	0	1	8
Mitchell Saxen	Center	24	3-4	0-0	1-4	7	1	0	1	7
Ashton Hardaway	F	19	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Luke Barrett	Forward	34	2-6	0-2	2-2	7	1	2	0	6
Andrew McKeever	C	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Harry Wessels	C	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Cade Bennett	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Joshua Dent	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Cohen	Forward	29	5-9	0-1	2-2	2	3	0	0	12
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	24	3-8	0-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Desmond Claude	G	21	2-7	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	1	4
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	9	1-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	1	3
Saint Thomas	Forward	22	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Isaiah Elohim	G	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Bryce Pope	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Rashaun Agee	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Terrance Williams II	F	24	0-3	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	1
Wesley Yates III	G	17	0-7	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Matt Knowling	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Shelley	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Clark Slajchert	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

115.1Offensive Efficiency58.3

58.3Defensive Efficiency115.1

56.7Net Efficiency-56.7

53.4%Effective FG%26.0%

54.9%True Shooting %32.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

20.3%Free Throw Rate24.0%

23.7%3-Point Rate24.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.