Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.7%Arizona State

87.3%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -14.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -687

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 71

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 85

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricNew Mexico

51MMH Power Index63.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

-2.8Net Efficiency14.6

7.0Strength of Schedule2.0

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

70.6Tempo70.7

51.3%Effective FG%53.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

40.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-1.9Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–108.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–110.9), net efficiency (14.6–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–2.0), free throw rate (40.2–36.5).

Final

Arizona State

85—82

New Mexico

Arizona State by 3 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

26-55FG24-63

47.0%FG%38.0%

9-193PT6-16

47.0%3PT%38.0%

24-32FT28-32

75.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists10

10Turnovers11

5Steals6

4Blocks3

22Fouls26

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	26	5-9	3-4	7-10	6	0	1	0	20
Joson Sanon	G	32	6-11	2-5	5-5	2	3	0	0	19
BJ Freeman	Guard	27	4-6	1-3	7-8	3	3	1	0	16
Alston Mason	Guard	33	3-8	1-2	4-4	3	5	1	1	11
Adam Miller	G	28	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Jayden Quaintance	F	29	2-8	0-1	0-3	8	1	1	3	4
Amier Ali	G	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	34	9-21	0-1	12-15	1	7	0	1	30
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	34	6-16	3-9	13-14	8	0	0	0	28
CJ Noland	Guard	31	4-7	3-3	2-2	4	2	2	0	13
Filip Borovicanin	F	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	25	1-3	0-0	1-1	7	1	1	0	3
Tru Washington	G	27	1-8	0-3	0-0	5	0	2	0	2
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
Kayde Dotson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ibrahima Sacko	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jovan Milicevic	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

116.1Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency116.1

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

55.5%Effective FG%42.9%

60.5%True Shooting %52.4%

14.0%Turnover Rate14.6%

58.2%Free Throw Rate50.8%

34.5%3-Point Rate25.4%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.