Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.8%Bowling Green

50.2%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -101

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 80

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricWeber State

54.7MMH Power Index50.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency113.6

99.1Defensive Efficiency108.2

13.5Net Efficiency5.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.2Tempo71.5

53.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

38.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

9.8Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–50.2), defensive efficiency (99.1–108.2), net efficiency (13.5–5.4), recent form (1.4–-1.8).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.6–112.6), strength of schedule (-3.4–-4.7), ball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Bowling Green

70—73

Weber State

Weber State by 3 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATWeber State

23-59FG26-55

39.0%FG%47.0%

6-213PT7-25

29.0%3PT%28.0%

18-21FT14-21

86.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists11

14Turnovers14

4Steals9

—Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Derrick Butler	Guard	40	5-13	1-5	5-5	5	1	1	16
Javontae Campbell	G	31	4-10	0-1	5-6	3	2	2	13
Braelon Green	G	23	3-4	0-0	4-5	3	2	0	10
Marcus Johnson	F	31	3-15	1-6	1-2	6	0	0	8
Trey Thomas	Guard	26	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	2	0	8
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	24	1-5	1-2	3-3	3	0	0	6
Jamai Felt	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	6
Preston Squire	F	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	3

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	37	8-15	0-1	3-3	7	4	5	0	19
Miguel Tomley	Guard	27	6-12	4-10	0-0	1	2	0	0	16
Dyson Koehler	Forward	36	3-7	1-4	4-5	7	1	3	0	11
Viljami Vartiainen	G	26	3-10	2-8	2-2	1	1	0	0	10
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	22	4-5	0-0	1-5	2	0	0	0	9
Alex Tew	Center	15	1-3	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	2	4
Nigel Burris	F	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	3	0	1	2
Trevor Hennig	G	13	0-1	0-1	2-3	2	0	1	0	2
Declan Cutler	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Saadiq Moore	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

100.7Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

44.1%Effective FG%53.6%

50.7%True Shooting %56.2%

20.0%Turnover Rate20.3%

35.6%Free Throw Rate38.2%

35.6%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Weber State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.