Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Merrimack

63.5%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -174

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreTroy 75

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricTroy

53.7MMH Power Index54.1

106.4Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

3.2Net Efficiency8.7

0.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

64.4Tempo70.4

49.3%Effective FG%52.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

39.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.1Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.7), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.4), net efficiency (8.7–3.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–49.3).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–103.9), strength of schedule (0.7–-2.2), recent form (12.9–2.0).

Final

Merrimack

72—68

Troy

Merrimack by 4 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATTroy

27-49FG22-48

55.0%FG%46.0%

14-253PT5-19

56.0%3PT%26.0%

4-6FT19-30

67.0%FT%63.0%

24Rebounds32

3Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists13

14Turnovers14

8Steals12

2Blocks2

21Fouls9

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Savage	Guard	33	8-10	7-9	0-0	3	0	2	0	23
Adam Clark	G	38	9-14	2-2	0-0	2	7	3	0	20
Matt Becht	Guard	32	4-9	2-7	2-2	0	1	1	0	12
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	21	2-2	2-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Sean Trumper	Forward	36	2-8	0-3	1-2	9	3	1	0	5
Bryan Etumnu	F	16	2-4	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	5
Tye Dorset	G	15	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Malik Edmead	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Elliott Black	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	34	5-11	0-1	5-5	6	1	0	0	15
Tayton Conerway	G	32	5-8	1-3	2-3	1	3	6	0	13
Jackson Fields	F	29	3-4	0-0	4-5	4	1	0	0	10
Thomas Dowd	F	25	3-5	2-3	0-2	8	3	1	1	8
Jerrell Bellamy	C	11	2-4	0-0	4-9	4	0	1	0	8
Victor Valdes	F	17	1-5	0-3	4-5	1	3	1	0	6
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	5	1	1	1	5
Theo Seng	F	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cooper Campbell	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

113.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

69.4%Effective FG%51.0%

69.4%True Shooting %54.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate21.8%

12.2%Free Throw Rate62.5%

51.0%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.