Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%Morehead State

35.3%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -183

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 83

Projected Total161.6

Projected ScoreCleveland State 79

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricCleveland State

47.3MMH Power Index37.3

110.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

110.0Defensive Efficiency120.2

0.8Net Efficiency-8.6

-4.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

67.9Tempo71.5

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate38.7%

0.5Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–37.3), defensive efficiency (110.0–120.2), net efficiency (0.8–-8.6), recent form (3.1–-14.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–110.8), strength of schedule (-1.7–-4.0), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

Morehead State

71—69

Cleveland State

Morehead State by 2 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATCleveland State

22-41FG21-53

54.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT4-17

39.0%3PT%24.0%

20-31FT23-30

65.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists6

19Turnovers11

8Steals9

2Blocks5

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	32	4-6	1-2	5-6	2	3	2	0	14
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	31	2-5	1-3	7-9	4	3	1	1	12
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	29	5-8	1-3	1-2	4	2	0	1	12
Anouar Mellouk	F	22	5-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	11
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	29	2-7	2-7	3-3	4	1	0	0	9
George Marshall	G	21	2-3	2-3	2-4	5	1	1	0	8
Trent Scott	Guard	19	2-3	0-0	1-3	2	2	4	0	5
Khouri Carvey	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahj Staveskie	G	36	3-15	1-6	11-12	2	1	2	1	18
Tevin Smith	Guard	28	5-12	1-5	5-6	7	0	0	1	16
Chase Robinson	Guard	23	4-6	1-1	2-3	4	1	1	0	11
Cole Franklin	G	31	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Isaac Abidde	F	17	2-3	1-1	1-2	6	1	1	0	6
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	21	2-2	0-0	1-3	1	1	0	0	5
Dylan Arnett	F	29	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	2	4
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	5	0-4	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Danny Young	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Reece Robinson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
KJ Debrick	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

103.6Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.6

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

62.2%Effective FG%43.4%

63.7%True Shooting %51.3%

27.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

75.6%Free Throw Rate56.6%

43.9%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.