UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UNLV

69.0%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -223

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 74

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 80

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricNorthwestern

52.8MMH Power Index55.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.8

1.4Net Efficiency1.8

2.7Strength of Schedule5.6

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

71.4Tempo65.6

53.7%Effective FG%51.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (111.6–111.0), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.8), recent form (1.1–-2.7), shooting efficiency (53.7–51.9).

Final

UNLV

61—66

Northwestern

Northwestern by 5 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATNorthwestern

24-57FG20-49

42.0%FG%41.0%

6-183PT8-18

33.0%3PT%44.0%

7-10FT18-26

70.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists15

14Turnovers12

2Steals7

4Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	34	7-16	0-2	3-4	1	2	0	0	17
Jailen Bedford	G	28	6-7	3-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	15
Julian Rishwain	Guard	36	3-11	3-10	0-0	3	2	2	0	9
Jeremiah Cherry	F	31	3-9	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	0	8
Jalen Hill	Forward	34	1-9	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	4
Jacob Bannarbie	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-2	8	0	0	0	4
Pape N'Diaye	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	4
Brooklyn Hicks	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	39	7-17	4-7	5-5	10	6	0	0	23
Jalen Leach	Not Available	21	5-6	3-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	15
Nick Martinelli	F	37	4-11	1-3	3-3	6	3	0	0	12
Matthew Nicholson	Center	30	2-2	0-0	4-10	3	5	2	2	8
Justin Mullins	G	18	2-3	0-1	1-2	4	0	2	0	5
Luke Hunger	F	10	0-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Ty Berry	Guard	29	0-5	0-4	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
K.J. Windham	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Smith	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

98.2Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency98.2

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

47.4%Effective FG%49.0%

49.4%True Shooting %53.8%

22.3%Turnover Rate19.6%

17.5%Free Throw Rate53.1%

31.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.