Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%Northwestern State

87.5%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -700

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreLSU 81

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLSU

41.3MMH Power Index54.2

104.0Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.3

-5.0Net Efficiency4.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule4.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

63.6Tempo70.5

49.5%Effective FG%53.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.9%

-3.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–41.3), offensive efficiency (115.5–104.0), net efficiency (4.2–-5.0), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.3), recent form (-4.9–-12.8).

Final

Northwestern State

53—77

LSU

LSU by 24 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATLSU

21-67FG26-58

31.0%FG%45.0%

8-263PT10-27

31.0%3PT%37.0%

3-10FT15-18

30.0%FT%83.0%

40Rebounds39

21Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

19Turnovers14

8Steals10

3Blocks9

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jon Sanders II	G	24	5-15	4-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	14
Micah Thomas	G	22	3-9	2-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Love Bettis	G	15	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	2	2	0	8
Jerald Colonel	F	25	3-9	0-0	0-1	8	1	0	2	6
Addison Patterson	F	26	1-9	0-1	2-4	9	2	2	1	4
JT Warren	Forward	15	2-7	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Willie Williams	F	29	1-3	0-0	0-3	8	2	1	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	22	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	2	2	0	1
Mitch Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Sears	Guard	27	6-14	6-11	0-0	5	2	0	1	18
Cam Carter	Guard	30	5-13	3-8	2-2	2	3	2	0	15
Jalen Reed	F	27	5-9	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	11
Vyctorius Miller	G	21	2-7	0-3	7-7	5	2	1	0	11
Corey Chest	F	31	3-4	0-0	3-4	10	2	1	5	9
Dji Bailey	Guard	33	2-2	0-0	1-1	4	4	3	1	5
Curtis Givens III	G	13	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Robert Miller III	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Derek Fountain	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Mike Williams	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Adam Benhayoune	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trace Young	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

76.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.5Defensive Efficiency76.0

-34.4Net Efficiency34.4

37.3%Effective FG%53.4%

36.9%True Shooting %57.9%

27.2%Turnover Rate20.1%

14.9%Free Throw Rate31.0%

38.8%3-Point Rate46.6%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

LSU won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.