Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

84.4%Saint Mary's

15.6%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -541

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 80

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreArizona State 69

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricArizona State

70.7MMH Power Index51

116.7Offensive Efficiency108.1

97.4Defensive Efficiency110.9

19.3Net Efficiency-2.8

3.0Strength of Schedule7.0

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

66.3Tempo70.6

53.1%Effective FG%51.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

12.8Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (97.4–110.9), net efficiency (19.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–3.0), free throw rate (40.2–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

64—68

Arizona State

Arizona State by 4 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATArizona State

25-60FG28-61

42.0%FG%46.0%

8-173PT5-18

47.0%3PT%28.0%

6-12FT7-12

50.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists11

13Turnovers10

6Steals8

7Blocks5

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ross	G	38	6-15	4-5	3-6	7	4	1	1	19
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	29	6-14	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	13
Mitchell Saxen	Center	33	4-10	0-0	2-4	9	0	2	1	10
Paulius Murauskas	F	26	4-8	0-1	1-2	9	0	1	2	9
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	2-5	1-2	0-0	9	1	0	1	5
Mikey Lewis	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Ashton Hardaway	F	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Harry Wessels	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joson Sanon	G	29	8-16	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	19
BJ Freeman	Guard	33	5-13	0-4	1-1	8	1	0	1	11
Adam Miller	G	27	4-7	1-3	2-3	0	1	2	0	11
Jayden Quaintance	F	32	5-8	0-1	0-3	9	5	3	2	10
Basheer Jihad	Forward	29	3-7	0-2	2-3	5	0	2	1	8
Alston Mason	Guard	34	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	3	1	0	7
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Amier Ali	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

95.2Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

48.3%Effective FG%50.0%

48.7%True Shooting %51.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate14.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate19.7%

28.3%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.