Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Colgate

79.0%Sam Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -376

Sam Houston

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 74

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreSam Houston 84

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricSam Houston

48.8MMH Power Index56.1

111.7Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency105.5

2.7Net Efficiency10.0

-2.0Strength of Schedule-2.2

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.4Tempo71.2

54.5%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

30.0%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.8Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–48.8), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.7), defensive efficiency (105.5–109.0), net efficiency (10.0–2.7).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-2.2), shooting efficiency (54.5–53.2), ball security (14.8–16.6).

Final

Colgate

78—82

Sam Houston

Sam Houston by 4 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATSam Houston

30-56FG28-54

54.0%FG%52.0%

12-323PT6-16

38.0%3PT%38.0%

6-10FT20-24

60.0%FT%83.0%

30Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists11

14Turnovers8

4Steals8

2Blocks—

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brady Cummins	G	32	8-13	2-6	2-3	1	2	0	0	20
Sam Wright	F	28	6-10	2-4	4-4	7	2	0	0	18
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	28	6-7	3-4	0-0	6	4	0	0	15
Blake Forrest	G	22	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	8
Parker Jones	G	31	3-6	1-3	0-1	7	1	0	0	7
Chandler Baker	Guard	16	2-9	2-8	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Cameron Brennan	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Jalen Cox	G	15	0-3	0-2	0-2	1	4	1	0	0
Kyle Carlesimo	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Julian Scott	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	37	7-14	3-9	0-0	2	2	2	17
Brennen Burns	Guard	29	5-6	0-0	5-7	0	4	2	15
Dorian Finister	G	29	4-10	1-1	6-6	8	0	0	15
Kian Scroggins	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	4-6	5	2	2	10
Cameron Huefner	Forward	25	4-8	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	8
Josiah Hammons	G	24	1-2	1-2	3-3	1	1	0	6
Kalifa Sakho	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	6
Erik Taylor	G	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	5
Jaxson Ford	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

118.9Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency118.9

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

64.3%Effective FG%57.4%

64.2%True Shooting %62.7%

21.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

17.9%Free Throw Rate44.4%

57.1%3-Point Rate29.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Sam Houston won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.