App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%App State

74.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -291

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 67

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 74

Team Comparison

App StateMetricUNC Wilmington

54.2MMH Power Index59.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency114.1

101.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

9.2Net Efficiency12.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule-1.5

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

64.9Tempo66.9

51.1%Effective FG%51.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

39.8%Free Throw Rate41.7%

6.0Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (114.1–110.9), net efficiency (12.4–9.2), strength of schedule (-1.5–-4.2).

App State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.0–5.5).

Final

App State

61—76

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 15 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

21-53FG25-61

40.0%FG%41.0%

2-173PT8-26

12.0%3PT%31.0%

17-21FT18-22

81.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists13

9Turnovers4

—Steals5

5Blocks3

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	31	6-11	0-2	5-8	2	0	1	17
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	23	5-9	0-0	6-6	11	0	1	16
Alonzo Dodd	G	16	4-5	1-2	2-3	2	0	0	11
Myles Tate	Guard	33	3-12	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	9
Luke Wilson	C	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	6	0	3	4
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	31	1-7	0-4	0-0	4	1	0	2
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Dior Conners	G	27	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0
Anthony Alston	Guard	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ben Ezeagu	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Will Coble	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Newby	Not Available	33	3-14	1-6	9-9	3	6	1	0	16
Nolan Hodge	G	35	6-10	2-5	1-2	6	3	0	0	15
Harlan Obioha	C	15	5-5	0-0	2-5	6	0	0	1	12
Khamari McGriff	F	24	5-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	10
Sean Moore	Forward	33	2-9	2-5	2-2	8	1	2	0	8
Joshua Corbin	Guard	21	2-6	2-6	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Bo Montgomery	Guard	21	2-6	1-3	2-2	8	1	0	1	7
Greedy Williams	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency100.3

-24.7Net Efficiency24.7

41.5%Effective FG%47.5%

48.4%True Shooting %53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate6.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.1%

32.1%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.67Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.