Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Cal State Northridge

71.3%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -248

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 76

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreMontana State 83

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricMontana State

50MMH Power Index53.6

107.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

2.1Net Efficiency9.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

75.9Tempo68.1

51.0%Effective FG%55.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.6Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–105.2), net efficiency (9.5–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.9–28.1), free throw rate (34.7–30.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

72—69

Montana State

Cal State Northridge by 3 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATMontana State

27-61FG23-61

44.0%FG%38.0%

7-233PT10-33

30.0%3PT%30.0%

11-18FT13-19

61.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists14

14Turnovers12

8Steals4

4Blocks3

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	37	7-14	5-9	2-3	7	1	0	0	21
Keonte Jones	G	38	5-14	1-3	0-4	11	6	0	4	11
Scotty Washington	G	27	3-8	0-3	3-4	4	0	0	0	9
Jordan Brinson	G	30	2-4	1-3	2-2	6	3	1	0	7
Mahmoud Fofana	F	28	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Tyler Beard	Guard	19	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	2-3	2	0	2	0	6
PJ Fuller II	Guard	19	1-7	0-3	2-2	3	3	2	0	4
Grady Lewis	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jalen Barbee	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	34	8-15	3-8	2-2	7	1	2	0	21
Tyler Patterson	Guard	34	4-9	4-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Brandon Walker	F	21	4-10	0-2	3-5	4	5	0	0	11
Jabe Mullins	Guard	39	2-11	1-7	2-2	9	2	2	0	7
Patrick McMahon	G	25	1-7	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
Sam Lecholat	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	1	4
BJ Kolly	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	18	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Jed Miller	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Bryce Zephir	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

96.9Offensive Efficiency92.9

92.9Defensive Efficiency96.9

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

50.0%Effective FG%45.9%

51.8%True Shooting %49.3%

18.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

29.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate54.1%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.