Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Houston Christian

37.9%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.4

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -164

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 74

Projected Total145.4

Projected ScoreUTSA 71

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricUTSA

39.5MMH Power Index30.5

102.5Offensive Efficiency99.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency115.0

-7.8Net Efficiency-16.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

65.4Tempo70.2

49.9%Effective FG%45.9%

19.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-5.1Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.5–30.5), offensive efficiency (102.5–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.0), net efficiency (-7.8–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHball security (17.0–19.0), offensive rebounding (30.9–30.5).

Final

Houston Christian

71—78

UTSA

UTSA by 7 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATUTSA

24-63FG25-53

38.0%FG%47.0%

7-243PT5-20

29.0%3PT%25.0%

16-22FT23-25

73.0%FT%92.0%

35Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists10

6Turnovers9

4Steals4

3Blocks7

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Mackey	G	26	5-13	4-10	6-8	0	1	0	0	20
Bryson Dawkins	G	32	7-16	2-7	0-0	3	1	0	2	16
Demari Williams	G	28	4-12	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	0	11
Peyton Rogers	Forward	38	3-6	0-3	2-4	9	3	1	1	8
Elijah Brooks	G	27	2-8	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Trent Johnson	F	20	2-6	0-1	2-2	3	5	1	0	6
D'Aundre Samuels	G	14	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	4
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Pierce Bazil	PG	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	39	11-25	2-10	7-8	3	5	1	0	31
Raekwon Horton	Forward	35	6-7	0-1	7-7	9	0	0	1	19
Damari Monsanto	Guard	28	3-8	3-8	2-2	4	0	1	0	11
Marcus Millender	G	27	1-4	0-1	4-4	2	3	0	0	6
Mo Njie	C	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	2	5
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	3	2
Baboucarr Njie	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	2
Nazar Mahmoud	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Skylar Wicks	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency108.1

-10.7Net Efficiency10.7

43.7%Effective FG%51.9%

48.3%True Shooting %60.1%

9.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

34.9%Free Throw Rate47.2%

38.1%3-Point Rate37.7%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

UTSA won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.