Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.2%Niagara

71.8%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -255

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 66

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreLafayette 73

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricLafayette

35.8MMH Power Index39.6

100.8Offensive Efficiency102.9

112.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

-11.6Net Efficiency-7.4

-0.8Strength of Schedule-1.4

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

63.4Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%49.4%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

27.3%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-7.4Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–35.8), offensive efficiency (102.9–100.8), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.4), net efficiency (-7.4–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-1.4), recent form (-5.6–-6.4), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.4).

Final

Niagara

47—59

Lafayette

Lafayette by 12 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATLafayette

15-59FG19-60

25.0%FG%32.0%

3-263PT7-27

12.0%3PT%26.0%

14-17FT14-17

82.0%FT%82.0%

47Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds7

3Assists12

9Turnovers4

1Steals6

1Blocks4

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Russell	G	23	4-9	1-1	2-3	3	0	0	0	11
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	31	4-15	0-8	2-2	15	2	1	1	10
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	18	1-6	0-0	6-7	14	0	0	0	8
Jahari Williamson	G	34	2-10	1-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Justin Page	G	34	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	5
Justice Smith	Forward	22	0-3	0-2	2-3	1	1	0	0	2
Jaeden Marshall	G	20	1-7	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Will Shortt	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Damondre McKnight	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	26	4-8	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	3	11
Mark Butler	G	27	2-7	1-1	4-5	2	1	0	0	9
Alex Chaikin	G	19	3-9	1-4	2-2	7	1	1	0	9
Malik Rasul	F	20	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Caleb Williams	G	20	2-9	1-6	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Andrew Phillips	G	19	3-4	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
Devin Hines	G	25	0-6	0-3	3-4	4	3	1	0	3
Ryan Pettit	G	21	1-6	1-6	0-0	5	0	2	0	3
Luka Savicevic	G	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
TJ Berger	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

71.6Offensive Efficiency89.9

89.9Defensive Efficiency71.6

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

28.0%Effective FG%37.5%

35.0%True Shooting %43.3%

13.6%Turnover Rate6.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate28.3%

44.1%3-Point Rate45.0%

0.33Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.