Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.6%Hofstra

24.4%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHofstra -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEHofstra -310

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 76

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreTarleton State 70

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricTarleton State

59.3MMH Power Index44.6

114.0Offensive Efficiency103.2

100.9Defensive Efficiency101.6

13.1Net Efficiency1.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.3

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

66.2Tempo72.2

52.2%Effective FG%49.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

8.7Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (114.0–103.2), defensive efficiency (100.9–101.6), net efficiency (13.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-2.9), free throw rate (42.8–32.0).

Final

Hofstra

59—61

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 2 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATTarleton State

16-50FG22-49

32.0%FG%45.0%

9-283PT5-10

32.0%3PT%50.0%

18-24FT12-18

75.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists10

9Turnovers14

5Steals5

7Blocks2

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jean Aranguren	G	37	6-14	4-10	5-8	3	2	3	1	21
Jaquan Sanders	G	22	2-11	1-6	2-2	3	0	0	1	7
TJ Gadsden	Guard	18	2-3	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
KiJan Robinson	G	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Cruz Davis	G	37	0-9	0-5	5-6	4	7	2	1	5
Khalil Farmer	G	25	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Silas Sunday	F	21	1-3	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	3	3
Joshua DeCady	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	3
Michael Graham	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
German Plotnikov	G	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronnie Harrison	F	35	10-18	1-2	6-8	7	2	3	0	27
Bubu Benjamin	G	40	5-11	2-5	3-4	8	1	0	1	15
Chris Mpaka	F	5	4-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Izzy Miles	G	40	1-6	0-1	2-2	9	1	2	0	4
Joseph Martinez	G	40	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	4	0	0	3
Nick Krass	G	37	1-8	1-1	0-0	8	2	0	0	3
Jordan Mizell	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

95.9Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency95.9

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

41.0%Effective FG%50.0%

48.0%True Shooting %53.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate23.1%

48.0%Free Throw Rate36.7%

56.0%3-Point Rate20.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.