Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Bellarmine

81.9%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL166.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -452

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 77

Projected Total166.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 89

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricNorthern Kentucky

44.9MMH Power Index53.9

119.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

122.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

-2.5Net Efficiency7.8

-2.8Strength of Schedule-2.9

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

66.9Tempo72.3

60.0%Effective FG%54.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

35.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-1.7Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–44.9), defensive efficiency (107.1–122.1), net efficiency (7.8–-2.5), recent form (4.6–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–114.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-2.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.5).

Final

Bellarmine

70—86

Northern Kentucky

Northern Kentucky by 16 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

24-53FG32-62

45.0%FG%52.0%

12-313PT7-25

39.0%3PT%28.0%

10-10FT15-21

100.0%FT%71.0%

24Rebounds35

3Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists16

15Turnovers5

3Steals8

1Blocks3

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Doyle	G	34	6-8	0-1	3-3	5	4	1	0	15
Jack Karasinski	F	16	6-11	3-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	15
Ben Johnson	G	31	4-11	3-9	1-1	2	4	0	0	12
Billy Smith	G	32	2-9	2-8	4-4	3	4	0	1	10
Myles Watkins	G	24	2-4	1-1	1-1	5	0	2	0	6
Kenyon Goodin	G	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Landin Hacker	Guard	19	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Dylan Branson	Forward	15	1-4	0-1	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Curt Hopf	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Luke Anderson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	9-12	0-0	6-9	8	2	3	0	24
Randall Pettus II	G	23	8-13	3-5	1-1	5	3	2	1	20
Sam Vinson	Guard	36	6-11	1-4	5-5	5	4	2	1	18
Josh Dilling	Guard	35	3-11	2-7	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Keeyan Itejere	F	21	3-3	0-0	1-3	7	2	1	1	7
LJ Wells	F	24	2-3	0-1	0-1	4	1	0	0	4
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	15	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Dan Gherezgher	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Paulius Rapolis	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

102.3Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency102.3

-23.4Net Efficiency23.4

56.6%Effective FG%57.3%

60.6%True Shooting %59.7%

21.5%Turnover Rate7.5%

18.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

58.5%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.07Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.