Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.3%Air Force

98.7%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -29.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -7592

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 60

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreWright State 89

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricWright State

23MMH Power Index57.1

91.3Offensive Efficiency116.4

118.5Defensive Efficiency106.5

-27.2Net Efficiency9.9

6.2Strength of Schedule-2.0

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

67.4Tempo69.2

49.0%Effective FG%55.2%

21.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

35.9%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-18.3Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (116.4–91.3), defensive efficiency (106.5–118.5), net efficiency (9.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-2.0).

Final

Air Force

57—70

Wright State

Wright State by 13 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATWright State

21-53FG27-52

40.0%FG%52.0%

5-203PT9-20

25.0%3PT%45.0%

10-15FT7-12

67.0%FT%58.0%

40Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds2

9Assists17

15Turnovers7

3Steals8

3Blocks1

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Celichowski	C	20	5-10	1-5	4-6	3	0	0	0	15
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	4-9	3-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	11
Luke Kearney	F	37	3-7	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	1	9
Caleb Walker	F	20	3-9	0-0	3-5	4	2	0	2	9
Byron Brown	Guard	29	2-4	0-1	1-2	11	2	0	0	5
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	31	2-7	0-2	0-0	8	2	1	0	4
Will Cooper	F	22	2-7	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Sam Duskin	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Marshall	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Noel	F	27	10-15	1-4	2-5	4	0	3	0	23
Alex Huibregtse	G	36	7-10	6-7	0-0	6	3	0	0	20
Michael Imariagbe	F	19	6-6	0-0	2-3	4	1	1	1	14
Solomon Callaghan	G	28	1-5	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Keaton Norris	G	36	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	8	1	0	3
Andrew Welage	Guard	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Ayden Davis	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Drey Carter	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Logan Woods	G	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jack Doumbia Jr.	F	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

91.3Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency91.3

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

44.3%Effective FG%60.6%

47.4%True Shooting %60.7%

24.1%Turnover Rate11.2%

28.3%Free Throw Rate23.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Wright State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.