Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%Arkansas State

29.0%Rice

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -245

Rice

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 81

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreRice 76

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricRice

57.7MMH Power Index45.1

113.1Offensive Efficiency108.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency109.2

7.8Net Efficiency-0.9

-1.0Strength of Schedule-2.2

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

73.3Tempo68.3

52.7%Effective FG%49.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %35.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

5.8Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–45.1), offensive efficiency (113.1–108.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–109.2), net efficiency (7.8–-0.9).

Rice COUNTERS WITHball security (17.8–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

67—75

Rice

Rice by 8 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATRice

20-57FG19-51

35.0%FG%37.0%

3-263PT5-15

12.0%3PT%33.0%

24-31FT32-39

77.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds40

16Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists8

14Turnovers12

4Steals4

1Blocks3

28Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	36	4-8	1-4	4-6	3	3	1	0	13
Derrian Ford	G	28	2-12	0-5	6-8	8	0	0	0	10
Rashaud Marshall	F	23	2-3	0-0	6-8	4	0	0	0	10
Kobe Julien	Forward	18	3-5	2-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Taryn Todd	Guard	21	2-8	0-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Izaiyah Nelson	F	12	2-3	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	1	5
Joseph Pinion	G	15	2-6	0-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Kameron Johnson	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Cody Head	G	14	1-6	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Josh Hill	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Avery Felts	Guard	24	0-4	0-4	1-2	4	0	2	0	1
Justin Johnson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rice

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trae Broadnax	G	36	5-12	0-1	8-8	6	6	0	0	18
Kellen Amos	Guard	33	3-4	1-1	10-12	5	0	1	1	17
Alem Huseinovic	Guard	29	3-10	2-7	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Caden Powell	C	25	2-8	0-0	6-9	9	0	0	2	10
Emory Lanier	Guard	18	2-4	1-2	2-2	1	2	2	0	7
Denver Anglin	G	14	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jacob Dar	G	10	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Andrew Akuchie	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	8	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Aaron Powell	G	3	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Trey Patterson	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

97.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency97.0

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

37.7%Effective FG%42.2%

46.7%True Shooting %53.9%

20.1%Turnover Rate17.5%

54.4%Free Throw Rate76.5%

45.6%3-Point Rate29.4%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Rice won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.