Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Mercyhurst

55.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -126

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 74

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreSacramento State 75

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricSacramento State

45.5MMH Power Index43

105.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

102.2Defensive Efficiency112.0

3.0Net Efficiency-5.9

-5.7Strength of Schedule0.9

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

65.9Tempo73.2

50.5%Effective FG%48.5%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.2%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate41.8%

2.0Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–43.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–112.0), net efficiency (3.0–-5.9), recent form (3.2–-7.8).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.1–105.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-5.7), ball security (14.2–14.4).

Final

Mercyhurst

66—60

Sacramento State

Mercyhurst by 6 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATSacramento State

22-47FG19-47

47.0%FG%40.0%

10-253PT8-22

40.0%3PT%36.0%

12-16FT14-20

75.0%FT%70.0%

27Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists12

14Turnovers15

9Steals7

—Blocks1

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	35	8-12	5-8	4-5	4	0	4	25
Jeff Planutis	Forward	36	6-12	4-10	4-4	4	3	2	20
Aidan Reichert	Forward	33	4-9	0-1	3-5	8	2	0	11
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	33	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	7	1	3
Jake Lemelman	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	3
Max Jusianiec	G	21	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	2
James Thomas	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Christian Gamble	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	28	3-7	1-2	8-10	6	0	0	0	15
Julian Vaughns	Guard	34	5-7	2-3	2-2	5	2	1	0	14
Bailey Nunn	G	36	4-10	4-8	0-0	4	3	0	0	12
Emil Skytta	G	27	3-5	0-0	2-4	3	4	3	1	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	38	1-3	1-3	2-4	4	1	1	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Deonte Williams	Guard	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
EJ Neal Jr.	G	22	0-9	0-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Bowyn Beatty	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

106.3Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency106.3

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

57.4%Effective FG%48.9%

60.4%True Shooting %53.1%

22.4%Turnover Rate24.4%

34.0%Free Throw Rate42.6%

53.2%3-Point Rate46.8%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.