UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UC Davis

62.7%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -168

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreOregon State 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricOregon State

48.4MMH Power Index48.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency105.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

3.5Net Efficiency-4.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule4.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

72.4Tempo67.2

52.3%Effective FG%50.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.9%

2.5Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.2–105.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.3), net efficiency (3.5–-4.5), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.6).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.5–48.4), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.9), recent form (0.0–-0.1).

Final

UC Davis

57—90

Oregon State

Oregon State by 33 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATOregon State

19-53FG29-48

36.0%FG%60.0%

9-213PT8-14

43.0%3PT%57.0%

10-17FT24-25

59.0%FT%96.0%

17Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists20

10Turnovers14

5Steals6

1Blocks3

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	36	4-13	4-10	2-2	1	0	0	0	14
TY Johnson	Guard	20	4-13	1-2	3-6	2	1	1	0	12
Pablo Tamba	F	25	4-6	1-1	1-1	2	2	1	0	10
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	14	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Jamaal Unuakhalu	F	10	3-4	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	8
Sione Lose	Guard	30	0-4	0-1	2-2	0	4	0	1	2
Nils Cooper	G	22	1-4	0-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Chappell	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	0	1
Niko Rocak	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Derek Sangster	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parsa Fallah	F	28	11-14	0-0	3-3	4	2	0	0	25
Michael Rataj	G	23	6-10	3-4	6-6	11	2	0	1	21
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	33	3-7	1-2	3-3	5	1	1	0	10
Nate Kingz	G	26	3-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	9
Josiah Lake II	G	25	2-3	0-0	4-4	7	1	2	1	8
Isaiah Sy	F	18	2-3	2-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	8
Damarco Minor	G	28	1-3	1-3	4-5	3	10	1	1	7
Johan Munch	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Ja'Quavis Williford	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Maxim Logue	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Thomas Ndong	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matthew Marsh	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

87.0Offensive Efficiency137.4

137.4Defensive Efficiency87.0

-50.4Net Efficiency50.4

44.3%Effective FG%68.8%

46.7%True Shooting %75.2%

15.4%Turnover Rate21.3%

32.1%Free Throw Rate52.1%

39.6%3-Point Rate29.2%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 33 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.