UMass Lowell

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%UMass Lowell

64.0%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -178

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 72

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 78

Team Comparison

UMass LowellMetricCentral Connecticut

43.8MMH Power Index44.4

107.9Offensive Efficiency111.4

109.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

-2.0Net Efficiency4.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule-7.7

1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

69.4Tempo66.3

51.0%Effective FG%54.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-1.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–43.8), offensive efficiency (111.4–107.9), defensive efficiency (107.0–109.9), net efficiency (4.4–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.6–-7.7), recent form (1.0–-0.5), offensive rebounding (35.1–28.2).

Final

UMass Lowell

67—69

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 2 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMass LowellTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

25-56FG26-53

45.0%FG%49.0%

3-133PT5-15

23.0%3PT%33.0%

14-20FT12-17

70.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists15

15Turnovers15

9Steals11

2Blocks4

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Brooks	Forward	33	11-14	0-0	7-7	10	3	2	2	29
Martin Somerville	G	30	4-10	1-5	4-7	2	0	2	0	13
Yuri Covington	Guard	28	3-11	1-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Quinton Mincey	Guard	36	2-11	1-3	1-2	6	2	0	0	6
Quincy Clark	Guard	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
Cam Morris III	F	19	2-5	0-0	2-4	3	1	3	0	6
Anthony Blunt	Guard	21	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	0
Xzavier Lino	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mekhi Gray	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	23	5-6	1-2	3-3	2	0	3	0	14
Abdul Momoh	F	24	6-9	0-0	1-2	5	1	2	2	13
Devin Haid	G	30	5-9	0-3	2-3	8	3	1	1	12
Jayden Brown	Forward	27	3-7	1-1	2-4	5	2	0	1	9
Jordan Jones	Guard	26	2-11	0-4	4-5	4	5	2	0	8
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	30	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	23	1-5	1-2	0-0	0	4	1	0	3
James Jones	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Max Frazier	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

94.6Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency94.6

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

47.3%Effective FG%53.8%

51.1%True Shooting %56.5%

21.3%Turnover Rate21.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate32.1%

23.2%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.