Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Buffalo

42.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -137

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScorePenn State 77

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricPenn State

49.7MMH Power Index42.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

2.7Net Efficiency-8.4

0.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.9Tempo67.5

56.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

40.4%Free Throw Rate34.6%

1.8Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–42.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.2), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (2.7–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–0.0), ball security (15.6–16.1).

Final

Buffalo

64—87

Penn State

Penn State by 23 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATPenn State

22-53FG35-62

42.0%FG%56.0%

7-273PT9-21

26.0%3PT%43.0%

13-16FT8-13

81.0%FT%62.0%

27Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists23

15Turnovers11

6Steals7

3Blocks2

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	36	5-14	5-12	4-4	3	3	1	0	19
Brayden Jackson	G	11	5-7	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	11
Ben Michaels	F	24	3-8	1-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	9
Noah Batchelor	G	33	2-5	1-3	2-3	3	2	1	0	7
Tyson Dunn	G	30	3-8	0-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	6
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	18	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Bryson Wilson	G	17	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	2
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Kavon Bradford	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Tim Oboh	C	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Sam Akot	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	26	12-16	1-2	2-3	3	1	0	1	27
Freddie Dilione V	G	21	6-13	4-9	0-0	0	4	0	0	16
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	17	5-10	0-1	2-2	4	3	0	0	12
Puff Johnson	G	22	4-5	0-1	1-2	8	0	1	0	9
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	3	0	7
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	34	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	10	3	0	5
Zach Hicks	Forward	30	1-2	1-1	2-4	4	3	0	0	5
Kachi Nzeh	F	14	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Jahvin Carter	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Dominick Stewart	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hudson Ward	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Sedora	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

91.6Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency91.6

-32.9Net Efficiency32.9

48.1%Effective FG%63.7%

52.8%True Shooting %63.8%

21.6%Turnover Rate15.7%

30.2%Free Throw Rate21.0%

50.9%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.09

Game Summary

Penn State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.