California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.7%California Baptist

59.3%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -146

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 74

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreUCF 77

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUCF

58.3MMH Power Index57.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency113.3

99.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.5Net Efficiency3.3

1.8Strength of Schedule6.6

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

68.2Tempo71.2

48.8%Effective FG%53.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–57.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–3.3), recent form (11.0–-3.8).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–106.5), strength of schedule (6.6–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–48.8).

Final

California Baptist

59—74

UCF

UCF by 15 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUCF

20-57FG24-53

35.0%FG%45.0%

6-213PT8-21

29.0%3PT%38.0%

13-13FT18-26

100.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists16

19Turnovers11

6Steals11

3Blocks5

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	11-25	3-7	8-8	1	3	1	0	33
Javonte Johnson	Guard	28	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Kendal Coleman	Forward	26	2-5	1-2	0-0	13	0	0	0	5
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	21	2-5	0-3	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
AJ Braun	Forward	21	1-7	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Bradey Henige	F	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
Adam Moussa	Guard	22	1-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
Sam Silverstein	G	27	0-4	0-3	0-0	8	0	3	2	0
Tylen Riley	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Dollar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	30	6-12	2-3	1-1	5	2	0	0	15
Darius Johnson	Guard	33	4-12	2-7	1-2	5	4	7	0	11
Moustapha Thiam	C	29	4-7	0-1	3-4	7	0	0	3	11
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	29	3-6	1-3	3-4	2	5	0	0	10
Benny Williams	Forward	13	1-4	1-3	4-4	2	0	0	1	7
JJ Taylor	F	19	2-5	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	1	6
Dallan Coleman	Guard	18	1-3	1-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	6
Nils Machowski	G	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
Rokas Jocius	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Hendricks	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Dior Johnson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Poohpha Warakulnukroh	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

84.5Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency84.5

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

40.4%Effective FG%52.8%

46.7%True Shooting %56.6%

27.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

22.8%Free Throw Rate49.1%

36.8%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.32Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

UCF won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.