Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Texas State

39.0%Texas Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -156

Texas Southern

12-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreTexas Southern 72

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricTexas Southern

49.4MMH Power Index40.8

107.7Offensive Efficiency104.2

103.4Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.3Net Efficiency-2.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule-6.3

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

68.6Tempo69.8

51.3%Effective FG%50.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate39.3%

2.9Average Margin-1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–40.8), offensive efficiency (107.7–104.2), defensive efficiency (103.4–106.7), net efficiency (4.3–-2.5).

Texas Southern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.3–36.0).

Final

Texas State

72—59

Texas Southern

Texas State by 13 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATTexas Southern

29-60FG19-57

48.0%FG%33.0%

5-143PT5-22

36.0%3PT%23.0%

9-11FT16-23

82.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds17

18Assists8

14Turnovers14

9Steals9

6Blocks5

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Turner	Forward	32	9-12	0-1	0-0	3	1	3	0	18
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	34	6-15	0-3	1-2	9	7	1	2	13
Kaden Gumbs	G	33	5-10	1-1	1-1	2	7	3	1	12
Joshua O'Garro	G	30	3-8	1-4	3-3	5	2	1	1	10
Drue Drinnon	Guard	23	3-3	3-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Tylan Pope	Forward	24	3-12	0-2	2-3	8	1	0	0	8
Austin Green	F	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Texas Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kavion McClain	F	31	4-16	2-9	2-2	4	2	3	0	12
Kenny Hunter	Forward	29	3-8	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	3	10
Zaire Hayes	G	23	3-4	3-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	10
Kolby Granger	G	27	3-8	0-3	2-2	6	2	1	0	8
Oumar Koureissi	F	10	1-2	0-0	3-3	1	0	0	0	5
Grayson Carter	Forward	31	2-9	0-4	0-0	4	0	2	1	4
Zytarious Mortle	G	8	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Alex Anderson	G	26	0-2	0-0	2-6	2	3	1	1	2
Jaylen Wysinger	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Duane Posey	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency90.6

90.6Defensive Efficiency110.6

20.0Net Efficiency-20.0

52.5%Effective FG%37.7%

55.2%True Shooting %43.4%

21.5%Turnover Rate21.6%

18.3%Free Throw Rate40.4%

23.3%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.29Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Texas State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.