Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%Tarleton State

61.9%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -162

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 73

Projected Total149.5

Projected ScoreIndiana State 76

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricIndiana State

44.6MMH Power Index44.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency104.7

101.6Defensive Efficiency106.0

1.6Net Efficiency-1.3

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.2Tempo70.3

49.0%Effective FG%53.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.1Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (101.6–106.0), net efficiency (1.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (31.8–27.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.2), strength of schedule (0.1–-2.3), recent form (-5.2–-6.7).

Final

Tarleton State

71—87

Indiana State

Indiana State by 16 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATIndiana State

24-54FG34-56

44.0%FG%61.0%

3-123PT13-29

25.0%3PT%45.0%

20-24FT6-6

83.0%FT%100.0%

23Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists17

14Turnovers18

8Steals10

—Blocks2

10Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ronnie Harrison	F	38	7-14	0-1	8-9	6	1	1	22
Bubu Benjamin	G	31	8-16	2-4	2-3	4	0	0	20
Izzy Miles	G	33	4-5	1-2	3-4	6	2	1	12
Nick Krass	G	38	4-9	0-3	1-1	2	2	3	9
Jordan Mizell	G	14	1-2	0-1	5-5	1	0	1	7
Chris Mpaka	F	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Joseph Martinez	G	36	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0
Matt Krass	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
Roy Marom	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Evans	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	35	9-13	4-7	2-2	8	3	2	0	24
Markus Harding	C	22	7-10	1-2	0-0	7	2	0	0	15
Bruno Alocen	G	29	4-9	4-8	2-2	4	2	1	0	14
K'mani Doughty	Guard	17	3-3	2-2	1-1	1	0	2	1	9
Jaden Daughtry	F	17	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Jahni Summers	G	19	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Josiah LeGree	G	23	2-4	0-2	1-1	0	6	3	0	5
Jayan Walker	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Merritt Alderink	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Camp Wagner	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Cooper Bean	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyran Cook	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency101.9

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

47.2%Effective FG%72.3%

54.3%True Shooting %73.9%

20.2%Turnover Rate25.8%

44.4%Free Throw Rate10.7%

22.2%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.57Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.