Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Northwestern

81.6%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -443

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 66

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreIowa 77

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIowa

55.4MMH Power Index64.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.8Net Efficiency13.2

5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

65.6Tempo63.0

51.9%Effective FG%56.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.2%

1.2Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.8), net efficiency (13.2–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.3), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Northwestern

79—80

Iowa

Iowa by 1 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIowa

29-60FG30-55

48.0%FG%55.0%

8-213PT9-23

38.0%3PT%39.0%

13-16FT11-19

81.0%FT%58.0%

36Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists16

12Turnovers12

8Steals7

1Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	38	7-13	1-3	6-6	10	3	2	0	21
Ty Berry	Guard	29	6-12	5-9	3-4	1	4	2	0	20
Nick Martinelli	F	39	9-17	1-2	0-0	5	4	0	0	19
Jalen Leach	Not Available	33	3-9	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	9
Luke Hunger	F	22	3-6	0-1	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Justin Mullins	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Matthew Nicholson	Center	18	0-1	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	1
Blake Smith	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dix	G	38	9-16	3-8	1-1	6	1	0	0	22
Payton Sandfort	Forward	35	6-14	4-9	4-4	7	4	1	1	20
Owen Freeman	F	32	7-9	1-1	1-4	3	2	0	0	16
Brock Harding	G	33	6-10	0-2	0-1	1	8	3	1	12
Pryce Sandfort	F	18	2-2	1-1	2-3	3	0	1	0	7
Even Brauns	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	2-4	0	0	0	0	2
Drew Thelwell	Guard	24	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	1	2	0	1
Ladji Dembele	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

113.2Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency113.2

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

55.0%Effective FG%62.7%

58.4%True Shooting %62.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.7%Free Throw Rate34.5%

35.0%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Iowa won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.