Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%Western Michigan

91.8%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -1120

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 67

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreDayton 83

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricDayton

42.8MMH Power Index59.9

106.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

113.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

-6.7Net Efficiency7.0

2.0Strength of Schedule5.7

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.9Tempo68.3

50.3%Effective FG%52.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate47.6%

-4.7Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–42.8), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.9), defensive efficiency (101.5–113.6), net efficiency (7.0–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.0–26.7).

Final

Western Michigan

69—77

Dayton

Dayton by 8 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATDayton

29-54FG25-48

54.0%FG%52.0%

5-173PT9-21

29.0%3PT%43.0%

6-7FT18-22

86.0%FT%82.0%

26Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists15

13Turnovers9

5Steals9

—Blocks3

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	36	8-19	3-10	5-5	5	1	1	24
Markhi Strickland	G	35	9-12	0-1	1-2	5	2	2	19
Brandon Muntu	G	32	3-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	8
Max Burton	F	28	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	6
Marquese Josephs	Guard	21	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	6
EJ Ryans	G	32	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	5	0	4
Michael Sulaka	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Seryee Lewis	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	36	7-10	3-5	6-6	8	2	1	1	23
Nate Santos	Forward	39	6-10	2-5	1-2	5	1	1	0	15
Javon Bennett	G	30	4-7	3-6	1-2	0	3	0	0	12
Posh Alexander	Guard	28	2-5	1-3	7-8	1	2	4	0	12
Zed Key	Forward	22	4-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	9
Malachi Smith	G	23	2-7	0-1	2-2	0	5	0	0	6
Amaël L'Etang	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	2	0
Isaac Jack	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Hamad Mousa	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

116.2Offensive Efficiency129.6

129.6Defensive Efficiency116.2

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

58.3%Effective FG%61.5%

60.2%True Shooting %65.9%

21.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

13.0%Free Throw Rate45.8%

31.5%3-Point Rate43.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.