Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%Arkansas

52.1%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL166.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -109

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 82

Projected Total166.8

Projected ScoreMiami 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMiami

69.3MMH Power Index65.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency117.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.0

12.4Net Efficiency14.8

8.6Strength of Schedule3.6

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

73.8Tempo69.2

56.4%Effective FG%55.5%

12.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

36.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

9.2Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (103.0–109.8), net efficiency (14.8–12.4), recent form (3.6–3.4), offensive rebounding (37.3–31.8).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (69.3–65.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–117.8), strength of schedule (8.6–3.6).

Final

Arkansas

76—73

Miami

Arkansas by 3 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMiami

30-62FG29-60

48.0%FG%48.0%

11-233PT9-29

48.0%3PT%31.0%

5-9FT6-8

56.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists14

11Turnovers11

7Steals3

2Blocks4

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Fland	G	32	6-13	4-9	2-2	4	6	0	0	18
D.J. Wagner	G	37	6-12	1-2	1-2	2	5	2	0	14
Johnell Davis	Guard	26	4-7	3-6	1-2	5	0	2	0	12
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	14	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	2	11
Adou Thiero	Forward	38	3-10	0-2	1-3	4	5	0	0	7
Trevon Brazile	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	12	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Billy Richmond III	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Karter Knox	G	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nijel Pack	G	33	9-16	3-7	1-2	6	6	0	0	22
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	25	7-9	0-0	1-1	10	0	1	1	15
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	20	4-7	4-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Lynn Kidd	Center	26	4-7	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	8
Austin Swartz	G	21	2-7	1-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Brandon Johnson	Forward	34	2-7	1-5	0-1	3	4	0	1	5
Paul Djobet	G	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	2
AJ Staton-McCray	G	15	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Jalil Bethea	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

112.4Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency112.4

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

57.3%Effective FG%55.8%

57.3%True Shooting %57.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.5%

14.5%Free Throw Rate13.3%

37.1%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.