Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.8%Florida State

50.2%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.3

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -101

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 81

Projected Total163.3

Projected ScoreLSU 83

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricLSU

58.7MMH Power Index54.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency111.3

3.4Net Efficiency4.2

5.7Strength of Schedule4.5

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

71.8Tempo70.5

52.4%Effective FG%53.4%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate41.9%

2.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), net efficiency (4.2–3.4), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.4), offensive rebounding (33.2–30.3).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–54.2), defensive efficiency (108.5–111.3), strength of schedule (5.7–4.5).

Final

Florida State

75—85

LSU

LSU by 10 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATLSU

28-72FG28-62

39.0%FG%45.0%

6-193PT9-27

32.0%3PT%33.0%

13-22FT20-29

59.0%FT%69.0%

45Rebounds43

22Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists10

14Turnovers11

5Steals9

6Blocks8

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malique Ewin	F	31	7-14	0-0	3-8	17	2	0	1	17
Jamir Watkins	Guard	31	6-19	0-3	3-4	7	1	1	3	15
Chandler Jackson	G	25	5-10	1-3	1-2	2	3	1	1	12
Jerry Deng	F	16	4-8	3-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	11
Justin Thomas	G	27	3-9	0-3	3-4	3	1	1	1	9
Daquan Davis	G	18	1-7	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	24	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Alier Maluk	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bostyn Holt	Guard	14	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
AJ Swinton	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Carter	Guard	36	8-15	2-6	8-9	8	2	2	0	26
Jordan Sears	Guard	36	6-16	4-10	5-6	6	1	0	1	21
Vyctorius Miller	G	30	4-12	3-7	4-6	3	2	1	2	15
Dji Bailey	Guard	30	3-8	0-3	2-2	5	3	3	0	8
Robert Miller III	F	15	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Corey Chest	F	23	2-2	0-0	0-4	10	1	1	0	4
Daimion Collins	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	4	4
Jalen Reed	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Derek Fountain	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Curtis Givens III	G	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

102.5Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency102.5

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

43.1%Effective FG%52.4%

45.5%True Shooting %56.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.6%Free Throw Rate46.8%

26.4%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

LSU won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.