BYU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.9%BYU

36.1%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL169.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -177

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBYU 87

Projected Total169.6

Projected ScoreProvidence 83

Team Comparison

BYUMetricProvidence

63.9MMH Power Index54.2

118.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.8Defensive Efficiency113.2

11.5Net Efficiency1.8

6.5Strength of Schedule4.0

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.6Tempo74.2

54.7%Effective FG%55.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.4%Free Throw Rate37.3%

8.1Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (106.8–113.2), net efficiency (11.5–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-1.3–-2.2), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.7), free throw rate (37.3–35.4).

Final

BYU

64—83

Providence

Providence by 19 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BYUTEAM STATProvidence

23-69FG25-42

33.0%FG%60.0%

7-253PT12-22

28.0%3PT%55.0%

11-17FT21-26

65.0%FT%81.0%

39Rebounds32

21Offensive Rebounds2

9Assists12

5Turnovers10

4Steals3

1Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Baker	G	23	7-11	2-3	0-1	4	0	1	0	16
Keba Keita	F	22	4-9	0-0	1-4	10	0	1	0	9
Trevin Knell	Guard	16	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Fousseyni Traore	Center	14	4-8	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Richie Saunders	G	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	7
Egor Demin	Guard	22	0-10	0-5	6-6	3	2	0	0	6
Kanon Catchings	F	23	1-8	1-4	0-1	7	2	0	1	3
Dallin Hall	G	26	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Mawot Mag	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Crawford	G	3	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Mihailo Boškovic	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	0
Trey Stewart	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	29	5-9	4-7	7-8	5	0	0	1	21
Bryce Hopkins	F	26	3-6	0-1	10-12	5	4	0	0	16
Jayden Pierre	G	36	5-8	2-5	0-0	2	2	2	0	12
Bensley Joseph	Guard	30	5-7	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	12
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	16	2-2	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	8
Christ Essandoko	F	18	2-3	1-2	1-2	6	1	0	1	6
Rich Barron	F	13	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	22	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Mela	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

103.6Offensive Efficiency134.3

134.3Defensive Efficiency103.6

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

38.4%Effective FG%73.8%

41.5%True Shooting %76.4%

8.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

24.6%Free Throw Rate61.9%

36.2%3-Point Rate52.4%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Providence won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.