Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Central Connecticut

78.6%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -367

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 73

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 81

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricMassachusetts

44.4MMH Power Index51.5

111.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.9

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

66.3Tempo72.8

54.0%Effective FG%53.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

2.9Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–110.3), net efficiency (4.4–3.6), recent form (-0.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.2).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (106.7–107.0), strength of schedule (0.9–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

73—69

Massachusetts

Central Connecticut by 4 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATMassachusetts

28-60FG24-60

47.0%FG%40.0%

9-263PT8-25

35.0%3PT%32.0%

8-11FT13-17

73.0%FT%76.0%

35Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists13

12Turnovers11

5Steals5

2Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Haid	G	33	6-12	3-6	3-4	7	3	2	0	18
Jayden Brown	Forward	35	5-11	1-4	1-1	6	2	0	1	12
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	27	4-9	2-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	10
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	27	3-6	1-2	3-3	2	5	0	0	10
Abdul Momoh	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	9
Jordan Jones	Guard	26	2-6	1-3	0-1	2	3	2	0	5
Darin Smith Jr.	F	13	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Max Frazier	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
James Jones	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Rivera	F	33	7-14	1-2	4-5	10	3	1	1	19
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	34	4-16	4-12	2-2	5	2	0	0	14
Jaylen Curry	G	33	4-12	1-5	1-2	3	2	1	0	10
Jayden Ndjigue	G	30	2-5	1-3	2-4	6	4	2	1	7
Nate Guerengomba	G	15	2-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	13	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Akil Watson	F	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Shah Muhammad	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Tarique Foster	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

106.3Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency106.3

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

54.2%Effective FG%46.7%

56.0%True Shooting %50.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

18.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

43.3%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.