George Washington

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%George Washington

31.4%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorge Washington -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorge Washington -218

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 78

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreAmerican University 75

Team Comparison

George WashingtonMetricAmerican University

59.8MMH Power Index48.2

115.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency105.8

10.2Net Efficiency4.8

3.1Strength of Schedule-4.3

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

70.5Tempo67.5

55.0%Effective FG%52.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.7%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

35.6%Free Throw Rate30.1%

7.2Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

George Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorge Washington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–105.8), net efficiency (10.2–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.2–0.9), ball security (15.7–18.2).

Final

George Washington

71—81

American University

American University by 10 • 78.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

George WashingtonTEAM STATAmerican University

28-66FG25-62

42.0%FG%40.0%

2-133PT13-32

15.0%3PT%41.0%

13-27FT18-24

48.0%FT%75.0%

41Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists16

14Turnovers16

14Steals9

2Blocks5

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	41	7-14	0-0	10-21	9	0	1	1	24
Jacoi Hutchinson	G	38	9-16	0-2	2-4	7	5	4	0	20
Gerald Drumgoole Jr.	Guard	23	3-12	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Christian Jones	G	26	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	3	2	0	6
Rafael Castro	F	33	2-6	0-0	1-2	9	1	4	1	5
Trey Moss	G	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Trey Autry	G	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Sean Hansen	Forward	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	2

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smalls	Guard	41	8-15	5-9	5-7	0	2	2	0	26
Matt Rogers	Forward	36	7-14	4-8	0-1	6	1	0	1	18
Greg Jones	F	36	3-9	2-6	8-8	10	0	1	0	16
Matt Mayock	F	35	3-9	1-4	2-2	8	5	0	1	9
Lincoln Ball	Guard	35	2-4	0-0	1-2	9	4	2	0	5
Wyatt Nausadis	G	19	1-5	0-3	2-4	2	3	3	0	4
Elijah Stephens	Guard	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Eric Michaels	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
Julen Iturbe	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.6Possessions78.6

90.3Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency90.3

-12.7Net Efficiency12.7

43.9%Effective FG%50.8%

45.0%True Shooting %55.2%

17.5%Turnover Rate20.7%

40.9%Free Throw Rate38.7%

19.7%3-Point Rate51.6%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

American University won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 78.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.