Rider

4-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Rider

94.5%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -19.8

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -1718

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRider 61

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreFairfield 81

Team Comparison

RiderMetricFairfield

29.1MMH Power Index50.1

96.3Offensive Efficiency109.6

115.3Defensive Efficiency105.4

-19.0Net Efficiency4.2

-0.9Strength of Schedule-3.4

-17.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

65.9Tempo67.8

43.4%Effective FG%49.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

32.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

31.5%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-12.6Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–29.1), offensive efficiency (109.6–96.3), defensive efficiency (105.4–115.3), net efficiency (4.2–-19.0).

Rider COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-3.4), free throw rate (31.5–28.4).

Final

Rider

75—78

Fairfield

Fairfield by 3 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RiderTEAM STATFairfield

27-55FG30-62

49.0%FG%48.0%

5-143PT9-18

36.0%3PT%50.0%

16-26FT9-14

62.0%FT%64.0%

29Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists17

11Turnovers15

7Steals4

4Blocks2

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

Rider

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
T.J. Weeks Jr.	Guard	38	7-14	4-8	3-4	2	1	2	2	21
Tariq Ingraham	F	34	7-12	0-0	7-10	14	2	0	1	21
Ife West-Ingram	F	21	5-8	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	10
Zion Cruz	G	28	3-5	0-2	2-4	1	2	2	0	8
Jay Alvarez	Forward	20	2-3	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Flash Burton	G	14	2-6	0-1	2-3	0	2	0	1	6
Andre Young	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ruben Rodriguez Jr.	G	18	0-6	0-2	0-0	4	2	2	0	0
Tyriek Weeks	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Stephen Byard	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
Cole McCabe	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alaaeddine Boutayeb	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deon Perry	Guard	28	7-14	4-7	1-3	2	2	0	0	19
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	24	6-8	4-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	16
Peyton Smith	F	20	6-12	0-1	3-5	6	1	0	0	15
Prophet Johnson	G	32	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	5	2	1	8
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	16	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	6
Jamie Bergens	Guard	34	2-8	1-3	0-0	3	5	2	0	5
Braden Sparks	G	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Birima Seck	Forward	10	0-3	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	3
Isaac Munkadi	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Noah Best	G	13	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matt Curtis	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

113.5Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency113.5

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

53.6%Effective FG%55.6%

55.7%True Shooting %56.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate22.8%

47.3%Free Throw Rate22.6%

25.5%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.